Is the Stock Market going to
Sell Down from Feb 2022?
TWB System. Simple and Easy. With Consistent and Proven Results By Students
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Since 1996, there were 3 major Stock Market selloffs and their P/E Ratio (fwd.) were between 15.1x to 25.2x.
As of 31 Dec 2021, the S&P was trading at 4766 with it's PE at 21.2x. But this is technically more than 20% above its means.
The last time this happened was in 1999 when the S&P fell from 1500 to 980 within 12months. And back in 2008, the US House Price Index reached 390 and collapsed. ย Yet by 2021, it has risen to 539 or +39% from the previous cycleโs peak.
Based on UN Food and Agriculture Organization latest data, since 1990, there were 3 occasions whereby the UN FAO Food Price Index reached 132.
Once in 2008 and the next one was in 2011. And incredibly the S&P lost almost 700pts in 6 months (2008) and 300pts in 4 months (2011)
The Index just reached 135 in December 2021. Do you think History is going to repeat (again) itself?
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Any form of investing carries risk, and may not be suitable for all individuals. Before making any decision to trade or invest you should always carefully consider your investment goals, experience level, and risk tolerance ability. The possibility will always exist that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and even the possibility of losing more than your initial investment with any form of margin trading. You should therefore not invest money you cannot afford to lose. You are recommended to seek advice from a financial advisor if you have any doubts. A reminder that past performance does not necessarily indicate future results.